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Author Smil, Vaclav.
Title Global catastrophes and trends : the next 50 years / Vaclav Smil.
Publication Info. Cambridge, Mass. : The MIT Press, c2008.
Location Call No. Status
 General Collection  363.34 S641, 2008    AVAILABLE
Description xi, 307 p. : ill., maps ; 24 cm.
Bibliography Includes bibliographical references (p. [259]-295) and indexes.
Contents 1. How (not) to look ahead -- 2. Fatal discontinuities. Natural catastrophes -- Encounters with extraterrestrial objects -- Volcanic mega-eruptions and collapses -- Influenza pandemics -- Violent conflicts -- Transformational wars -- Terrorist attacks -- Imaginable surprises -- 3. Unfolding trends. Energy transitions -- Dominant fuels, enduring prime movers -- Solar (nuclear?) civilization -- New world order -- Europe's place -- Japan's decline -- Islam's choice -- Russia's way -- China's rise -- The United States' retreat -- Place on top -- Dominance and decline -- Globalization and inequality -- 4. Environmental change. Global warming and its consequences -- Rising temperatures -- Ocean's rise, dynamics and composition -- Ecosystems and economies -- Other global changes -- Changing water and nitrogen cycles -- Loss of biodiversity and invasive species -- Antibiotic resistance -- Biosphere's integrity -- 5. Dealing with risk and uncertainty. Relative fears -- Quantifying the odds -- Rational attitudes -- Acting as risk minimizes -- The next 50 years.
Subject Natural disasters.
Environmental risk assessment.
ISBN 9780262195867 (hardcover : alk. paper)
0262195860 (hardcover : alk. paper)
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